Universitas Gadjah Mada
Faculty of Economics and Business

Economist Prof. Sri Adiningsih, predicted Indonesia's economy could survive the threat that the European crisis will still haunt the world economy in 2013. Unlike China and India are on the global financial crisis of 2008 still survive, but in 2012 began to decline in the rate of economic growth.

According to him, the financial markets is a major effect of global economic uncertainty is a source of economic vulnerability Indonesia. Because the amount of funds portfolio into Indonesia in 2012 is predicted to be a source of economic vulnerability in 2013.

"Likewise, international trade fell in 2012 to continue in 2013. So the Indonesian economy in 2013 will still be relying on the domestic economy such as consumption, "he said, Friday (28/12) in a discussion of" Indonesian Economic Review and Outlook 2013 "at the Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB) UGM.

As for invetasi a relatively high growth is also expected to weaken in 2013. Similarly, in the non-tradable sectors such as transport and communications, construction, finance, real estate and business services are typically high growth is expected to be under pressure.

Looking Gama leading economic indicator (LEI), it is said Adiningsih Indonesia's economic growth in 2013 is not expected to be much different from the economic growth in 2012. Economic growth in the range of 6 to 6.5 percent. "Economic Authority is expected to maintain macroeconomic stability and financial markets over the next year to be better investment and business climate does not worsen," he said.

Adiningsih adding various policies that are providing economic stimulus to the movement also needs to be done. One option that can be used is to reduce fuel subsidies gradually diverted for infrastructure development in order to improve the international competitiveness of Indonesian products.

Prof. Tandelilin Eduardus, FEB UGM lecturer, said the strength of the domestic economy of Indonesia will become the foundation in 2013 stronger as supported by several factors. Inflation is likely to be stable at the level of the target range of 4.5% ± 1% pushing domestic economic growth. Similarly, higher domestic consumption, reduced unemployment, increased investment flows, as well as thin-moving fundamental level. "Konsisi financial system and banking intermediation function remained stable also has an effect," he explained.

In 2013 the performance of the securities market in Indonesia also showed a positive trend with improved domestic economic prospect. It also encouraged the positive expectations of global economic recovery, especially in the United States and China.

Sources: ika/ugm